Line: running average CLV. Dots: each bet's CLV. Across the bottom: bet number.
Need at least 30 bets for a verdict. So far the average is +4.62% over 6 bets (t = 1.70).
#
Taken
Close
CLV
EV
1
2.20
2.00
+10.00%
+8.80%
2
3.50
3.60
−2.78%
−4.17%
3
1.95
1.85
+5.41%
+4.38%
4
4.00
3.50
+14.29%
+12.57%
5
2.50
2.44
+2.46%
+1.23%
6
1.80
1.83
−1.64%
−2.51%
L marks a lay. EV is what a back would make if the closing price were the true chance, after 2.0% commission; it isn't worked out for lays.
Closing line value compares the price you took with the Betfair price at the off. Beating the close again and again is the earliest honest sign of an edge, long before profit can tell you.
18+ only. Educational content, not financial or betting advice. Past results do not guarantee future returns. If gambling stops being fun, get free, confidential help at BeGambleAware.org.