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Academy / Tools / Expected value and commission
Calculator · from Lesson 2.3

Is this bet worth placing after commission?

What it’s telling you, step by step: Lesson 2.3: Expected value and commission

Try it · Expected value
Expected value
+£0.70
+3.51% of stake
├─Selection wins 55.0%+£17.64
├─Selection loses 45.0%−£20.00
Before commission the EV would be +£0.90.
Break-even
53.13%
Your edge
+1.87 pts
Your fair odds
1.82
−1.0−0.500.000.50break-even 53.1%0%20%40%60%80%100%
EV per £1 staked against your probability. The dot is you.
Worth placing: +3.5p per £1 staked if your probability is right.
EV is what the bet makes on average if your probability is right. Commission is taken from winnings only, so it is already in every figure here.
18+ only. Educational content, not financial or betting advice. Past results do not guarantee future returns. If gambling stops being fun, get free, confidential help at BeGambleAware.org.
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