Markets coveredMatch OddsCorrect ScoreOver / UnderFirst HalfSecond Half
Statometrics
Calculator · from Lesson 5.1

How do I rate teams from results alone?

What it’s telling you, step by step: Lesson 5.1: Elo ratings

Try it · Elo playground
Goal-margin multiplier
00.51Expected score 0.715-600-400-2000+200+400+600
Rating gap (home + advantage − away): +160
Home
58.5%
fair 1.709
Draw
26.0%
fair 3.85
Away
15.5%
fair 6.46
If it endsHomeAway
Home win+5.69−5.69
Draw−4.31+4.31
Away win−14.31+14.31
Home rating
1650.00
Away rating
1550.00
Home win 58.5%, fair price 1.709. Enter a Betfair price to see if it's worth backing.
The expected score counts a draw as half a win, so it isn't the home win chance. The draw rate is split out first, half from each side.
18+ only. Educational content, not financial or betting advice. Past results do not guarantee future returns. If gambling stops being fun, get free, confidential help at BeGambleAware.org.
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