Home goals down the side, away goals across the top. Draws are outlined.
H\A
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
6.72
7.39
4.07
1.49
0.41
0.09
1
10.75
11.83
6.51
2.39
0.66
0.14
2
8.60
9.46
5.20
1.91
0.52
0.12
3
4.59
5.05
2.78
1.02
0.28
0.06
4
1.84
2.02
1.11
0.41
0.11
0.02
5
0.59
0.65
0.36
0.13
0.04
0.01
Grid adds up to 99.9999%. Figures are % chance; tap for the fair price.
Home
48.96%
Draw
24.89%
Away
26.15%
Over 2.5
50.64%
Match Odds
Chance
Fair
Home
48.96%
2.043
Draw
24.89%
4.018
Away
26.15%
3.824
Both score
Chance
Fair
Yes
53.24%
1.878
No
46.76%
2.139
Over
Chance
Fair
Over 0.5
93.28%
1.072
Over 1.5
75.13%
1.331
Over 2.5
50.64%
1.975
Over 3.5
28.59%
3.498
Over 4.5
13.71%
7.294
Under
Chance
Fair
Under 0.5
6.72%
14.879
Under 1.5
24.87%
4.022
Under 2.5
49.36%
2.026
Under 3.5
71.41%
1.400
Under 4.5
86.29%
1.159
Most likely scores
Chance
Fair
1-1
11.83%
8.454
1-0
10.75%
9.300
2-1
9.46%
10.568
2-0
8.60%
11.625
0-1
7.39%
13.527
From 1.60 and 1.10 expected goals: home 2.04, draw 4.02, away 3.82. The most likely score is 1-1 at 11.83%, and still loses more than 8 times in 10.
Check a Betfair price: Correct score 1-1
Model chance 11.83%, fair price 8.454.
Type a price to see if it’s value. Break-even after commission is 8.607.
Every square is home chance × away chance for that pair of scores. Tap a square or a row to price it. The totals use every score up to 10 each side, not just the ones shown.
18+ only. Educational content, not financial or betting advice. Past results do not guarantee future returns. If gambling stops being fun, get free, confidential help at BeGambleAware.org.